Saturday 11 August 2018, 21:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
49%
27%
24%
Home win
49.3%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
23.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.0% | 3.71 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.4% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.6% | 11.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.0% | 3.70 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 46.8% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.3% | 3.96 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.5% | 8.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| No | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Guingamp | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.6
|
7.1
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
12.8
|
6.1
|
2.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.4
|
9.4
|
4.7
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.8
|
4.8
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.9
|
1.9
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.6
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Guingamp
0-1
Saint Etienne
Mar 2018
Saint Etienne
2-0
Guingamp
Dec 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Saint Etienne
Apr 2017
Guingamp
0-2
Saint Etienne
Dec 2016
Saint Etienne
1-0
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.