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Sunday 6 May 2018, 16:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
39% 30% 30%
Home win
39.3%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
30.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 39.3% 2.54
Draw 30.4% 3.29
Bordeaux 30.3% 3.31

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.3% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.7% 8.56
Over 1.5 65.8% 1.52
Under 1.5 34.2% 2.92
Over 2.5 38.2% 2.62
Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62
Over 3.5 18.4% 5.43
Under 3.5 81.6% 1.23
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.43
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.4% 2.20
No 54.6% 1.83

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 69.7% 1.43
Saint Etienne / Bordeaux 69.6% 1.44
Draw / Bordeaux 60.7% 1.65

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.7
10.3
5.6
1.9
0.5
0.1
1
12.3
14.1
6.8
2.3
0.6
0.1
2
7.8
8.0
4.1
1.4
0.4
0.1
3
3.1
3.2
1.6
0.6
0.1
0.0
4
0.9
1.0
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.