Sunday 22 April 2018, 18:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
55%
28%
17%
Home win
54.7%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
17.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.1% | 3.56 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes | 17.2% | 5.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.3% | 8.16 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.8% | 2.80 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.6% | 2.73 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.8% | 14.68 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.3% | 2.54 | — | — |
| No | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Estac Troyes | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Estac Troyes | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.3
|
7.4
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.1
|
12.5
|
4.1
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.3
|
8.6
|
3.0
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.0
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2022
Saint Etienne
1-1
Estac Troyes
Nov 2021
Estac Troyes
0-1
Saint Etienne
Oct 2017
Estac Troyes
2-1
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.