Sunday 15 April 2018, 18:00
Stade de l'Aube
Full time
18%
26%
56%
Home win
17.8%
Draw
25.8%
Away win
56.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes | 17.8% | 5.62 | — | — |
| Draw | 25.8% | 3.88 | — | — |
| Marseille | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 10.93 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.7% | 3.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.5% | 9.54 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
| No | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Estac Troyes / Draw | 43.6% | 2.30 | — | — |
| Estac Troyes / Marseille | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
13.3
|
11.5
|
6.3
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
12.1
|
9.4
|
5.2
|
2.1
|
0.7
|
| 2 |
2.8
|
4.7
|
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
0.8
|
1.3
|
1.1
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2023
Marseille
3-1
Estac Troyes
Jan 2023
Estac Troyes
0-2
Marseille
Feb 2022
Estac Troyes
1-1
Marseille
Nov 2021
Marseille
1-0
Estac Troyes
Dec 2017
Marseille
3-1
Estac Troyes
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.