Sunday 11 March 2018, 22:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
26%
29%
44%
Home win
26.5%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
44.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Marseille | 44.3% | 2.26 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.38 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.0% | 3.13 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.3% | 4.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.7% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.5% | 11.71 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.5% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
| No | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 55.7% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Marseille | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
12.5
|
8.9
|
4.0
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.9
|
13.7
|
8.6
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
4.7
|
6.3
|
4.2
|
1.9
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.5
|
2.0
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Toulouse
0-1
Marseille
Nov 2025
Marseille
2-2
Toulouse
Apr 2025
Marseille
3-2
Toulouse
Aug 2024
Toulouse
1-3
Marseille
Apr 2024
Toulouse
2-2
Marseille
Sep 2023
Marseille
0-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.