Sunday 18 February 2018, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
60%
22%
17%
Home win
60.4%
Draw
22.3%
Away win
17.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 60.4% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.3% | 4.48 | — | — |
| Bordeaux | 17.2% | 5.81 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.7% | 17.51 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 19.7% | 5.07 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 18.0% | 5.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| No | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Marseille / Bordeaux | 77.7% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Bordeaux | 39.6% | 2.53 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.7
|
4.4
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.6
|
10.6
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.2
|
10.0
|
4.9
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
6.8
|
6.6
|
3.2
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
3.4
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.4
|
1.3
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Bordeaux
0-1
Marseille
Aug 2021
Marseille
2-2
Bordeaux
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
0-0
Marseille
Oct 2020
Marseille
3-1
Bordeaux
Feb 2020
Bordeaux
0-0
Marseille
Dec 2019
Marseille
3-1
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.