Friday 19 January 2018, 21:45
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
20%
27%
53%
Home win
19.7%
Draw
27.5%
Away win
52.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.5% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Marseille | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.4% | 9.60 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.6% | 3.17 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 20.8% | 4.82 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 79.2% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.8% | 11.39 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.2% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
| No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Caen / Marseille | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.4
|
13.9
|
11.1
|
5.6
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
| 1 |
7.2
|
12.8
|
9.1
|
4.6
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
3.3
|
5.0
|
3.7
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
0.9
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.2
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Caen
0-1
Marseille
Oct 2018
Marseille
2-0
Caen
Nov 2017
Marseille
5-0
Caen
Apr 2017
Caen
1-5
Marseille
Nov 2016
Marseille
1-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.