Sunday 30 April 2017, 16:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
26%
28%
46%
Home win
26.4%
Draw
28.0%
Away win
45.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 26.4% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.0% | 3.57 | — | — |
| Marseille | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 9.1% | 10.94 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 71.6% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 28.4% | 3.52 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 10.6% | 9.44 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Caen / Marseille | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
9.1
|
11.3
|
8.7
|
4.2
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
13.3
|
9.0
|
4.3
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
4.5
|
6.5
|
4.7
|
2.3
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
1.6
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.4
|
0.6
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2019
Caen
0-1
Marseille
Oct 2018
Marseille
2-0
Caen
Jan 2018
Caen
0-2
Marseille
Nov 2017
Marseille
5-0
Caen
Nov 2016
Marseille
1-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.