Sunday 16 April 2017, 22:00
Orange Vélodrome
Full time
42%
33%
26%
Home win
41.8%
Draw
32.6%
Away win
25.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Draw | 32.6% | 3.07 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84.7% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 15.3% | 6.53 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 13.0% | 7.67 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.7% | 21.49 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 95.3% | 1.05 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 38.2% | 2.62 | — | — |
| No | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille / Draw | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Marseille / Saint Etienne | 67.4% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
15.3
|
11.0
|
4.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.4
|
14.0
|
5.3
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.1
|
7.4
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.9
|
0.8
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2025
Marseille
5-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2024
Saint Etienne
0-2
Marseille
Apr 2022
Saint Etienne
2-4
Marseille
Aug 2021
Marseille
3-1
Saint Etienne
May 2021
Saint Etienne
1-0
Marseille
Sep 2020
Marseille
0-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.