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Saturday 4 March 2017, 21:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
27% 34% 38%
Home win
27.2%
Draw
34.3%
Away win
38.5%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 27.2% 3.68
Draw 34.3% 2.91
Saint Etienne 38.5% 2.60

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 82.5% 1.21
Under 0.5 17.5% 5.71
Over 1.5 54.2% 1.85
Under 1.5 45.8% 2.18
Over 2.5 26.6% 3.76
Under 2.5 73.4% 1.36
Over 3.5 10.7% 9.36
Under 3.5 89.3% 1.12
Over 4.5 3.6% 28.12
Under 4.5 96.4% 1.04

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 35.3% 2.83
No 64.7% 1.55

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 61.5% 1.63
Bastia / Saint Etienne 65.7% 1.52
Draw / Saint Etienne 72.8% 1.37

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
17.5
15.9
8.3
2.8
0.7
0.1
1
12.4
14.0
6.6
2.2
0.5
0.1
2
5.2
5.2
2.6
0.9
0.2
0.0
3
1.4
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.0
4
0.3
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.