Sunday 26 February 2017, 16:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
67%
23%
10%
Home win
67.0%
Draw
22.8%
Away win
10.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Draw | 22.8% | 4.40 | — | — |
| Caen | 10.3% | 9.74 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 9.99 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 31.2% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.3% | 4.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.1% | 11.00 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.9% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 36.3% | 2.76 | — | — |
| No | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Caen | 77.2% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
4.7
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
16.4
|
10.1
|
2.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.3
|
8.6
|
2.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.2
|
5.1
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
4.1
|
2.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Caen
0-5
Saint Etienne
Sep 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Caen
Jan 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Caen
Aug 2017
Caen
0-1
Saint Etienne
Oct 2016
Caen
0-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.