Sunday 23 October 2016, 16:00
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
31%
29%
40%
Home win
31.0%
Draw
29.2%
Away win
39.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 31.0% | 3.22 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.2% | 3.42 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.0% | 9.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 30.5% | 3.28 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 21.7% | 4.61 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 9.3% | 10.72 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 90.7% | 1.10 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 60.3% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Caen / Saint Etienne | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw / Saint Etienne | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.0
|
11.1
|
7.6
|
3.2
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
9.4
|
13.8
|
8.3
|
3.6
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
5.6
|
7.2
|
4.6
|
2.0
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.1
|
2.6
|
1.7
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2019
Caen
0-5
Saint Etienne
Sep 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Caen
Jan 2018
Saint Etienne
2-1
Caen
Aug 2017
Caen
0-1
Saint Etienne
Feb 2017
Saint Etienne
0-1
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.