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Saturday 12 August 2017, 21:00 Stade Michel d'Ornano Full time
0–1
HT 0–0
31% 32% 37%
Home win
31.0%
Draw
31.9%
Away win
37.1%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen 31.0% 3.23
Draw 31.9% 3.14
Saint Etienne 37.1% 2.69

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 86.4% 1.16
Under 0.5 13.6% 7.36
Over 1.5 61.8% 1.62
Under 1.5 38.2% 2.61
Over 2.5 33.9% 2.95
Under 2.5 66.1% 1.51
Over 3.5 15.3% 6.52
Under 3.5 84.7% 1.18
Over 4.5 5.8% 17.23
Under 4.5 94.2% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 42.0% 2.38
No 58.0% 1.72

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Caen / Draw 62.9% 1.59
Caen / Saint Etienne 68.1% 1.47
Draw / Saint Etienne 69.0% 1.45

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.6
13.1
7.6
2.7
0.7
0.2
1
11.6
14.3
7.3
2.7
0.7
0.2
2
6.0
6.5
3.6
1.3
0.4
0.1
3
1.9
2.1
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.5
0.5
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Caen goals. Columns: Saint Etienne goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.