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Sunday 14 May 2017, 22:00 Stade Geoffroy-Guichard Full time
Saint Etienne
0–5
HT 0–2
Paris Saint Germain
24% 31% 46%
Home win
23.5%
Draw
30.5%
Away win
46.0%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne 23.5% 4.25 — —
Draw 30.5% 3.28 — —
Paris Saint Germain 46.0% 2.18 — —

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.0% 1.15 — —
Under 0.5 13.0% 7.69 — —
Over 1.5 62.8% 1.59 — —
Under 1.5 37.2% 2.69 — —
Over 2.5 35.1% 2.85 — —
Under 2.5 64.9% 1.54 — —
Over 3.5 16.2% 6.19 — —
Under 3.5 83.8% 1.19 — —
Over 4.5 6.2% 16.07 — —
Under 4.5 93.8% 1.07 — —

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 41.3% 2.42 — —
No 58.7% 1.71 — —

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Saint Etienne / Draw 54.0% 1.85 — —
Saint Etienne / Paris Saint Germain 69.5% 1.44 — —
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 76.5% 1.31 — —

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
13.0
14.8
9.9
4.2
1.3
0.3
1
9.4
13.7
8.2
3.5
1.1
0.3
2
4.2
5.4
3.4
1.4
0.5
0.1
3
1.2
1.5
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
4
0.2
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Saint Etienne goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Saint Etienne
D L D W D
Paris Saint Germain
W W W L W

Head to head

Mar 2025 Saint Etienne 1-6 Paris Saint Germain Jan 2025 Paris Saint Germain 2-1 Saint Etienne Feb 2022 Paris Saint Germain 3-1 Saint Etienne Nov 2021 Saint Etienne 1-3 Paris Saint Germain Apr 2021 Paris Saint Germain 3-2 Saint Etienne Jan 2021 Saint Etienne 1-1 Paris Saint Germain

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.