Sunday 9 April 2017, 18:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
57%
28%
14%
Home win
57.5%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
14.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Draw | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Nantes | 14.4% | 6.95 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.8% | 7.25 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 33.1% | 3.02 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 14.8% | 6.74 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 85.2% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 5.5% | 18.05 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.5% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
| No | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 85.6% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Nantes | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Draw / Nantes | 42.6% | 2.35 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.8
|
7.0
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
18.3
|
11.8
|
3.3
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.7
|
8.0
|
2.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
6.6
|
3.9
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Saint Etienne
1-1
Nantes
Sep 2024
Nantes
2-2
Saint Etienne
May 2022
Nantes
1-1
Saint Etienne
Dec 2021
Saint Etienne
0-1
Nantes
Feb 2021
Saint Etienne
1-1
Nantes
Sep 2020
Nantes
2-2
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.