Sunday 12 March 2017, 16:00
Stade Geoffroy-Guichard
Full time
66%
24%
11%
Home win
65.8%
Draw
23.6%
Away win
10.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.6% | 4.24 | — | — |
| Metz | 10.6% | 9.44 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.7% | 9.32 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 32.8% | 3.05 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 19.8% | 5.05 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 80.2% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 8.2% | 12.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
| No | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saint Etienne / Draw | 89.4% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Saint Etienne / Metz | 76.4% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
10.7
|
5.0
|
1.5
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
17.1
|
10.3
|
2.7
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
15.3
|
8.4
|
2.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
8.9
|
4.9
|
1.3
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.9
|
2.1
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.3
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jun 2024
Metz
2-2
Saint Etienne
May 2024
Saint Etienne
2-1
Metz
Mar 2022
Saint Etienne
1-0
Metz
Oct 2021
Metz
1-1
Saint Etienne
Feb 2021
Saint Etienne
1-0
Metz
Oct 2020
Metz
2-0
Saint Etienne
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.