Sunday 26 February 2017, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
79%
13%
8%
Home win
79.1%
Draw
13.3%
Away win
7.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Draw | 13.3% | 7.52 | — | — |
| Metz | 7.6% | 13.21 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97.4% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 2.6% | 38.88 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 89.6% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 10.4% | 9.63 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 26.9% | 3.72 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 33.2% | 3.01 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| No | 45.1% | 2.22 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 92.4% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Lyon / Metz | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 20.9% | 4.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
2.6
|
1.6
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
6.2
|
6.0
|
2.4
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
9.7
|
8.3
|
3.6
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.5
|
8.1
|
3.5
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
7.0
|
6.0
|
2.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.1
|
3.5
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Metz
2-5
Lyon
Aug 2025
Lyon
3-0
Metz
Feb 2024
Metz
1-2
Lyon
Nov 2023
Lyon
1-1
Metz
May 2022
Metz
3-2
Lyon
Dec 2021
Lyon
1-1
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.