Saturday 11 February 2017, 18:00
Stade du Roudourou
Full time
38%
27%
35%
Home win
37.8%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
35.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 37.8% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Lyon | 35.4% | 2.82 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.2% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.8% | 14.61 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.5% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.5% | 4.44 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 30.6% | 3.26 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.1% | 6.62 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.9% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.3% | 1.74 | — | — |
| No | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Lyon | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.8
|
7.7
|
5.7
|
2.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
12.7
|
8.2
|
3.7
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.2
|
8.5
|
5.8
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
4.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Lyon
2-1
Guingamp
Nov 2018
Guingamp
2-4
Lyon
Jan 2018
Guingamp
0-2
Lyon
Sep 2017
Lyon
2-1
Guingamp
Oct 2016
Lyon
1-3
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.