Wednesday 17 January 2018, 20:00
Stade de Roudourou
Full time
27%
25%
48%
Home win
27.4%
Draw
24.5%
Away win
48.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp | 27.4% | 3.65 | — | — |
| Draw | 24.5% | 4.08 | — | — |
| Lyon | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.7% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.3% | 18.96 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.49 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.7% | 2.46 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 36.9% | 2.71 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.7% | 5.08 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| No | 39.0% | 2.56 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guingamp / Draw | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Guingamp / Lyon | 75.5% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.3
|
7.6
|
7.3
|
4.3
|
1.9
|
0.7
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
11.3
|
9.5
|
5.6
|
2.5
|
0.9
|
| 2 |
3.9
|
6.9
|
6.1
|
3.6
|
1.6
|
0.6
|
| 3 |
1.7
|
3.0
|
2.7
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
| 4 |
0.5
|
1.0
|
0.9
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Lyon
2-1
Guingamp
Nov 2018
Guingamp
2-4
Lyon
Sep 2017
Lyon
2-1
Guingamp
Feb 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Lyon
Oct 2016
Lyon
1-3
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.