Sunday 10 September 2017, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
71%
17%
12%
Home win
70.8%
Draw
17.3%
Away win
11.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.3% | 5.79 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 11.9% | 8.39 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.6% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.4% | 29.17 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.0% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 13.0% | 7.68 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | 3.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 46.6% | 2.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 27.7% | 3.61 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 88.1% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Lyon / Guingamp | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 29.2% | 3.43 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.4
|
2.5
|
1.4
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
7.1
|
7.8
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.6
|
9.4
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
8.1
|
7.9
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.2
|
5.0
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.6
|
2.6
|
1.2
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Lyon
2-1
Guingamp
Nov 2018
Guingamp
2-4
Lyon
Jan 2018
Guingamp
0-2
Lyon
Feb 2017
Guingamp
2-1
Lyon
Oct 2016
Lyon
1-3
Guingamp
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.