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Saturday 5 August 2017, 21:00 Stade Saint-Symphorien Full time
1–3
HT 1–1
37% 27% 36%
Home win
36.7%
Draw
27.0%
Away win
36.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz 36.7% 2.72
Draw 27.0% 3.70
Guingamp 36.3% 2.76

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.8% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.2% 13.98
Over 1.5 76.7% 1.30
Under 1.5 23.3% 4.28
Over 2.5 51.7% 1.93
Under 2.5 48.3% 2.07
Over 3.5 29.6% 3.38
Under 3.5 70.4% 1.42
Over 4.5 14.4% 6.95
Under 4.5 85.6% 1.17

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 56.5% 1.77
No 43.6% 2.30

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Metz / Draw 63.7% 1.57
Metz / Guingamp 73.0% 1.37
Draw / Guingamp 63.3% 1.58

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.2
8.1
6.0
2.7
0.9
0.3
1
8.1
12.8
8.3
3.8
1.3
0.4
2
6.1
8.3
5.7
2.6
0.9
0.2
3
2.8
3.8
2.6
1.2
0.4
0.1
4
1.0
1.3
0.9
0.4
0.1
0.0
5
0.3
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Metz goals. Columns: Guingamp goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.