Saturday 22 April 2017, 21:00
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Full time
41%
30%
28%
Home win
41.3%
Draw
30.4%
Away win
28.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille | 41.3% | 2.42 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.4% | 3.29 | — | — |
| Guingamp | 28.3% | 3.53 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88.1% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 11.9% | 8.42 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 34.7% | 2.88 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 18.1% | 5.54 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.2% | 13.80 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 92.8% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.7% | 2.24 | — | — |
| No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lille / Draw | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Lille / Guingamp | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Guingamp | 58.7% | 1.70 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
11.9
|
10.0
|
5.2
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
12.8
|
14.0
|
6.4
|
2.1
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.4
|
8.1
|
3.9
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.4
|
3.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Feb 2019
Guingamp
0-2
Lille
Aug 2018
Lille
3-0
Guingamp
Apr 2018
Lille
2-2
Guingamp
Sep 2017
Guingamp
1-0
Lille
Oct 2016
Guingamp
1-0
Lille
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.