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Saturday 11 March 2017, 21:00 Stade Marcel-Picot Full time
1–2
HT 1–0
34% 37% 29%
Home win
34.0%
Draw
36.7%
Away win
29.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy 34.0% 2.95
Draw 36.7% 2.72
Lille 29.3% 3.41

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 79.2% 1.26
Under 0.5 20.8% 4.81
Over 1.5 48.6% 2.06
Under 1.5 51.4% 1.94
Over 2.5 21.9% 4.57
Under 2.5 78.1% 1.28
Over 3.5 8.0% 12.50
Under 3.5 92.0% 1.09
Over 4.5 2.4% 41.37
Under 4.5 97.6% 1.02

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 31.2% 3.20
No 68.8% 1.45

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nancy / Draw 70.7% 1.41
Nancy / Lille 63.3% 1.58
Draw / Lille 66.0% 1.51

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
20.8
14.5
5.8
1.5
0.3
0.0
1
16.1
13.7
4.9
1.3
0.2
0.0
2
7.1
5.5
2.1
0.5
0.1
0.0
3
2.0
1.5
0.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nancy goals. Columns: Lille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.