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Saturday 4 March 2017, 18:00 Parc des Princes Full time
81% 15% 4%
Home win
80.6%
Draw
15.2%
Away win
4.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 80.6% 1.24
Draw 15.2% 6.57
Nancy 4.2% 23.78

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 92.4% 1.08
Under 0.5 7.6% 13.18
Over 1.5 74.1% 1.35
Under 1.5 25.9% 3.87
Over 2.5 48.8% 2.05
Under 2.5 51.2% 1.95
Over 3.5 27.0% 3.71
Under 3.5 73.0% 1.37
Over 4.5 12.6% 7.91
Under 4.5 87.4% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 27.6% 3.62
No 72.4% 1.38

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 95.8% 1.04
Paris Saint Germain / Nancy 84.8% 1.18
Draw / Nancy 19.4% 5.15

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
7.6
2.3
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
1
16.0
6.3
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
2
18.5
6.7
1.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
3
14.0
5.1
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.0
4
7.9
2.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
3.6
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Nancy goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.