Tuesday 7 February 2017, 22:00
Parc des Princes
Full time
74%
19%
7%
Home win
73.6%
Draw
19.0%
Away win
7.4%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 73.6% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.0% | 5.26 | — | — |
| Lille | 7.4% | 13.55 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.2% | 12.13 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.4% | 3.93 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.6% | 8.60 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.4% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 34.8% | 2.87 | — | — |
| No | 65.2% | 1.53 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 92.6% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Lille | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Lille | 26.4% | 3.79 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.2
|
3.4
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.5
|
8.5
|
2.0
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
16.4
|
8.2
|
2.1
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.2
|
5.6
|
1.4
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.8
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Paris Saint Germain
3-0
Lille
Oct 2025
Lille
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
Mar 2025
Paris Saint Germain
4-1
Lille
Sep 2024
Lille
1-3
Paris Saint Germain
Feb 2024
Paris Saint Germain
3-1
Lille
Dec 2023
Lille
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.