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Saturday 21 January 2017, 18:00 Stade de la Beaujoire Full time
16% 28% 56%
Home win
16.2%
Draw
28.1%
Away win
55.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes 16.2% 6.19
Draw 28.1% 3.56
Paris Saint Germain 55.8% 1.79

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 87.3% 1.15
Under 0.5 12.7% 7.88
Over 1.5 63.3% 1.58
Under 1.5 36.7% 2.72
Over 2.5 35.6% 2.81
Under 2.5 64.4% 1.55
Over 3.5 16.5% 6.05
Under 3.5 83.5% 1.20
Over 4.5 6.4% 15.57
Under 4.5 93.6% 1.07

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.8% 2.64
No 62.2% 1.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Nantes / Draw 44.2% 2.26
Nantes / Paris Saint Germain 71.9% 1.39
Draw / Paris Saint Germain 83.8% 1.19

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
12.7
16.8
12.8
6.2
2.3
0.7
1
7.2
12.3
8.4
4.1
1.5
0.4
2
2.6
3.8
2.8
1.4
0.5
0.1
3
0.6
0.8
0.6
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Nantes goals. Columns: Paris Saint Germain goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.