Wednesday 21 December 2016, 21:50
Parc des Princes
Full time
81%
13%
6%
Home win
81.4%
Draw
12.7%
Away win
5.9%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw | 12.7% | 7.87 | — | — |
| Lorient | 5.9% | 17.06 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.8% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 3.2% | 30.79 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 87.1% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 12.9% | 7.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | 3.19 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 52.9% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 28.2% | 3.55 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 71.8% | 1.39 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 47.0% | 2.13 | — | — |
| No | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain / Draw | 94.1% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Paris Saint Germain / Lorient | 87.3% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Draw / Lorient | 18.6% | 5.39 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
3.2
|
1.6
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
8.0
|
6.0
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.8
|
8.1
|
2.8
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
11.3
|
7.7
|
2.6
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
8.0
|
5.5
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
4.6
|
3.1
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Paris Saint Germain
2-2
Lorient
Oct 2025
Lorient
1-1
Paris Saint Germain
Apr 2024
Lorient
1-4
Paris Saint Germain
Aug 2023
Paris Saint Germain
0-0
Lorient
Apr 2023
Paris Saint Germain
1-3
Lorient
Nov 2022
Lorient
1-2
Paris Saint Germain
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.