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Wednesday 30 November 2016, 22:00 Parc des Princes Full time
67% 23% 9%
Home win
67.4%
Draw
23.3%
Away win
9.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain 67.4% 1.48
Draw 23.3% 4.28
Angers 9.3% 10.75

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 88.5% 1.13
Under 0.5 11.5% 8.69
Over 1.5 65.4% 1.53
Under 1.5 34.6% 2.89
Over 2.5 38.0% 2.63
Under 2.5 62.0% 1.61
Over 3.5 18.3% 5.47
Under 3.5 81.7% 1.22
Over 4.5 7.4% 13.57
Under 4.5 92.6% 1.08

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 32.1% 3.11
No 67.9% 1.47

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Paris Saint Germain / Draw 90.7% 1.10
Paris Saint Germain / Angers 76.7% 1.30
Draw / Angers 32.6% 3.06

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
11.5
4.8
1.3
0.2
0.0
0.0
1
18.4
9.7
2.2
0.4
0.0
0.0
2
16.3
7.9
1.9
0.3
0.0
0.0
3
9.4
4.6
1.1
0.2
0.0
0.0
4
4.1
2.0
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
1.4
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Paris Saint Germain goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.