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Saturday 5 November 2016, 21:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa Full time
1–0
HT 0–0
51% 30% 19%
Home win
50.5%
Draw
30.3%
Away win
19.2%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 50.5% 1.98
Draw 30.3% 3.30
Lille 19.2% 5.22

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.8% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.2% 7.06
Over 1.5 60.3% 1.66
Under 1.5 39.7% 2.52
Over 2.5 32.5% 3.07
Under 2.5 67.5% 1.48
Over 3.5 14.4% 6.93
Under 3.5 85.6% 1.17
Over 4.5 5.3% 18.75
Under 4.5 94.7% 1.06

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 37.4% 2.67
No 62.6% 1.60

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 80.8% 1.24
Angers / Lille 69.7% 1.43
Draw / Lille 49.5% 2.02

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.2
8.6
3.3
0.8
0.1
0.0
1
16.8
13.0
4.3
1.0
0.2
0.0
2
11.5
8.0
2.8
0.7
0.1
0.0
3
5.0
3.5
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.6
1.1
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.4
0.3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Lille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.