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Sunday 2 October 2016, 16:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa Full time
1–1
HT 0–0
50% 28% 22%
Home win
50.0%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
21.8%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 50.0% 2.00
Draw 28.2% 3.55
Marseille 21.8% 4.59

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.46
Over 1.5 68.1% 1.47
Under 1.5 31.9% 3.14
Over 2.5 40.9% 2.44
Under 2.5 59.1% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.5% 4.89
Under 3.5 79.5% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.6% 11.62
Under 4.5 91.4% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.2% 2.21
No 54.8% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 78.2% 1.28
Angers / Marseille 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Marseille 50.0% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
7.8
3.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
13.5
13.1
5.4
1.6
0.3
0.1
2
10.4
9.0
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
5.0
4.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Marseille goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.