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Saturday 10 September 2016, 21:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa Full time
3–1
HT 1–1
58% 20% 22%
Home win
57.6%
Draw
20.2%
Away win
22.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 57.6% 1.74
Draw 20.2% 4.96
Dijon 22.3% 4.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 97.4% 1.03
Under 0.5 2.6% 37.92
Over 1.5 89.9% 1.11
Under 1.5 10.1% 9.91
Over 2.5 73.5% 1.36
Under 2.5 26.5% 3.77
Over 3.5 53.1% 1.88
Under 3.5 46.9% 2.13
Over 4.5 33.7% 2.97
Under 4.5 66.3% 1.51

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 69.9% 1.43
No 30.1% 3.32

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 77.7% 1.29
Angers / Dijon 79.8% 1.25
Draw / Dijon 42.4% 2.36

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
2.6
2.7
2.3
1.1
0.4
0.1
1
4.7
8.0
5.5
2.6
1.0
0.3
2
6.2
8.9
6.5
3.1
1.1
0.3
3
4.9
7.1
5.1
2.5
0.9
0.3
4
2.9
4.2
3.0
1.5
0.5
0.2
5
1.4
2.0
1.4
0.7
0.3
0.1
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Dijon goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.