Wednesday 21 September 2016, 20:00
Stade Raymond-Kopa
Full time
71%
19%
10%
Home win
71.2%
Draw
19.1%
Away win
9.7%
Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 71.2% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 19.1% | 5.24 | — | — |
| Caen | 9.7% | 10.26 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.6% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.4% | 15.74 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 21.9% | 4.56 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.0% | 2.17 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.7% | 3.15 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.9% | 6.31 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.1% | 1.19 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| No | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers / Draw | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Angers / Caen | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 28.8% | 3.47 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.4
|
3.4
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
12.1
|
9.1
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
13.7
|
9.2
|
3.1
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.9
|
6.7
|
2.3
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.3
|
3.6
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Caen
0-1
Angers
Dec 2018
Angers
1-1
Caen
Mar 2018
Angers
3-0
Caen
Oct 2017
Caen
0-2
Angers
Mar 2017
Caen
2-3
Angers
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.