Saturday 17 March 2018, 21:00
Stade Raymond Kopa
Full time
50%
30%
20%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
29.8%
Away win
20.1%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Draw | 29.8% | 3.35 | — | — |
| Caen | 20.1% | 4.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 13.2% | 7.57 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 62.3% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 37.7% | 2.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 34.5% | 2.89 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 65.5% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 15.8% | 6.33 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.0% | 16.57 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 94.0% | 1.06 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 39.5% | 2.53 | — | — |
| No | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Angers / Draw | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Angers / Caen | 70.2% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
13.2
|
8.5
|
3.5
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
15.9
|
13.2
|
4.6
|
1.1
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
11.1
|
8.3
|
3.1
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
5.0
|
3.7
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.7
|
1.2
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Caen
0-1
Angers
Dec 2018
Angers
1-1
Caen
Oct 2017
Caen
0-2
Angers
Mar 2017
Caen
2-3
Angers
Sep 2016
Angers
2-1
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.