Saturday 24 February 2018, 21:00
Stade Gaston-Gérard
Full time
52%
26%
22%
Home win
52.2%
Draw
26.1%
Away win
21.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.1% | 3.83 | — | — |
| Caen | 21.7% | 4.60 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.9% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.1% | 12.34 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.0% | 3.85 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 26.5% | 3.78 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 12.3% | 8.13 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| No | 49.3% | 2.03 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dijon / Draw | 78.3% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Dijon / Caen | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Draw / Caen | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.1
|
6.5
|
3.5
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.4
|
12.4
|
5.7
|
1.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
9.9
|
9.6
|
4.6
|
1.5
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
5.4
|
5.2
|
2.5
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
2.2
|
2.1
|
1.0
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.7
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Caen
1-0
Dijon
Sep 2018
Dijon
0-2
Caen
Sep 2017
Caen
2-1
Dijon
Feb 2017
Dijon
2-0
Caen
Dec 2016
Caen
3-3
Dijon
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.