Friday 2 December 2016, 21:45
Stade Michel d'Ornano
Full time
38%
27%
36%
Home win
37.6%
Draw
26.6%
Away win
35.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen | 37.6% | 2.66 | — | — |
| Draw | 26.6% | 3.76 | — | — |
| Dijon | 35.8% | 2.79 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 6.7% | 14.90 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 22.2% | 4.51 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 31.1% | 3.21 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 15.4% | 6.47 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 84.6% | 1.18 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| No | 42.3% | 2.37 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caen / Draw | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Caen / Dijon | 73.4% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Draw / Dijon | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
6.7
|
7.6
|
5.8
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
7.8
|
12.6
|
8.2
|
3.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
| 2 |
6.1
|
8.5
|
5.9
|
2.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 3 |
2.9
|
4.0
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.0
|
1.4
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2019
Caen
1-0
Dijon
Sep 2018
Dijon
0-2
Caen
Feb 2018
Dijon
2-0
Caen
Sep 2017
Caen
2-1
Dijon
Feb 2017
Dijon
2-0
Caen
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.