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Tuesday 29 November 2016, 22:00 Stade Gaston-Gérard Full time
1–1
HT 0–1
15% 16% 69%
Home win
15.4%
Draw
16.0%
Away win
68.6%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon 15.4% 6.51
Draw 16.0% 6.24
Monaco 68.6% 1.46

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 98.4% 1.02
Under 0.5 1.6% 64.27
Over 1.5 93.6% 1.07
Under 1.5 6.4% 15.68
Over 2.5 81.4% 1.23
Under 2.5 18.6% 5.36
Over 3.5 63.9% 1.57
Under 3.5 36.1% 2.77
Over 4.5 44.7% 2.24
Under 4.5 55.3% 1.81

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 72.3% 1.38
No 27.7% 3.61

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Dijon / Draw 31.4% 3.18
Dijon / Monaco 84.0% 1.19
Draw / Monaco 84.6% 1.18

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
1.6
3.4
5.5
5.4
4.0
2.4
1
1.5
5.6
7.8
7.7
5.7
3.4
2
1.3
3.7
5.5
5.5
4.1
2.4
3
0.6
1.8
2.6
2.6
1.9
1.1
4
0.2
0.6
0.9
0.9
0.7
0.4
5
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.1
Rows: Dijon goals. Columns: Monaco goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.