Friday 21 October 2016, 21:45
Stade Louis II
Full time
90%
6%
4%
Home win
90.1%
Draw
6.1%
Away win
3.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco | 90.1% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Draw | 6.1% | 16.42 | — | — |
| Montpellier | 3.8% | 25.98 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 99.6% | 1.00 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 0.4% | 281.69 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 98.3% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 1.7% | 57.21 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 93.5% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 6.5% | 15.34 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 84.2% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 15.8% | 6.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 29.6% | 3.38 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| No | 30.6% | 3.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco / Draw | 96.2% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Monaco / Montpellier | 93.9% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Draw / Montpellier | 9.9% | 10.06 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
0.4
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
1.2
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
3.0
|
3.6
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.7
|
5.7
|
3.4
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
5.6
|
6.7
|
4.0
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
5.3
|
6.4
|
3.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2025
Montpellier
2-1
Monaco
Sep 2024
Monaco
2-1
Montpellier
May 2024
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco
Dec 2023
Monaco
2-0
Montpellier
Apr 2023
Monaco
0-4
Montpellier
Oct 2022
Montpellier
0-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.