Friday 14 October 2016, 20:00
Stadium Municipal
Full time
42%
24%
35%
Home win
41.7%
Draw
23.8%
Away win
34.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Draw | 23.8% | 4.21 | — | — |
| Monaco | 34.6% | 2.89 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 96.0% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.0% | 25.29 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.8% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 14.2% | 7.03 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 34.2% | 2.93 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 43.9% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 25.4% | 3.94 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 67.1% | 1.49 | — | — |
| No | 32.9% | 3.04 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Monaco | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Draw / Monaco | 58.3% | 1.71 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.0
|
4.8
|
4.4
|
2.3
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 1 |
5.4
|
10.2
|
7.8
|
4.2
|
1.7
|
0.5
|
| 2 |
5.3
|
8.6
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
| 3 |
3.2
|
5.1
|
4.1
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
| 4 |
1.4
|
2.3
|
1.8
|
1.0
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.8
|
0.7
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2026
Toulouse
2-2
Monaco
Oct 2025
Monaco
1-0
Toulouse
Mar 2025
Toulouse
1-1
Monaco
Dec 2024
Monaco
2-0
Toulouse
Feb 2024
Monaco
1-2
Toulouse
Dec 2023
Toulouse
1-2
Monaco
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.