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Saturday 10 September 2016, 21:00 Stade Armand Cesari Full time
2–1
HT 1–0
24% 27% 49%
Home win
24.0%
Draw
26.7%
Away win
49.3%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia 24.0% 4.17
Draw 26.7% 3.74
Toulouse 49.3% 2.03

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 91.8% 1.09
Under 0.5 8.2% 12.14
Over 1.5 73.8% 1.36
Under 1.5 26.2% 3.81
Over 2.5 47.9% 2.09
Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92
Over 3.5 26.1% 3.83
Under 3.5 73.9% 1.35
Over 4.5 12.1% 8.27
Under 4.5 87.9% 1.14

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 51.4% 1.95
No 48.6% 2.06

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Bastia / Draw 50.7% 1.97
Bastia / Toulouse 73.3% 1.37
Draw / Toulouse 76.0% 1.32

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
8.2
11.1
9.2
4.8
1.9
0.6
1
7.0
12.7
9.4
4.9
1.9
0.6
2
3.9
6.1
4.8
2.5
1.0
0.3
3
1.3
2.1
1.6
0.9
0.3
0.1
4
0.3
0.5
0.4
0.2
0.1
0.0
5
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Bastia goals. Columns: Toulouse goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.