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Saturday 20 August 2016, 21:00 Stadium Municipal Full time
4–1
HT 2–0
15% 77% 9%
Home win
14.7%
Draw
76.6%
Away win
8.7%

Provisional One or both sides have too little top-flight history for the model to have a settled opinion. These numbers will move as matches are played.

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 14.7% 6.80
Draw 76.6% 1.31
Bordeaux 8.7% 11.54

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 24.9% 4.01
Under 0.5 75.1% 1.33
Over 1.5 3.5% 28.43
Under 1.5 96.5% 1.04
Over 2.5 0.3% 311.53
Under 2.5 99.7% 1.00
Over 3.5 0.0% 4,347.83
Under 3.5 100.0% 1.00
Over 4.5 0.0% 100,000.00
Under 4.5 100.0% 1.00

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 1.8% 56.09
No 98.2% 1.02

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 91.3% 1.09
Toulouse / Bordeaux 23.4% 4.28
Draw / Bordeaux 85.3% 1.17

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
75.1
8.1
0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
1
13.3
1.6
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
2
1.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
4
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
5
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Bordeaux goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.