Saturday 21 January 2017, 21:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
42%
31%
27%
Home win
42.0%
Draw
30.7%
Away win
27.3%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.7% | 3.25 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 27.3% | 3.66 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.5% | 8.01 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 36.0% | 2.78 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 36.3% | 2.75 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.0% | 5.87 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 83.0% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 6.7% | 14.95 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.3% | 1.07 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 43.4% | 2.30 | — | — |
| No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Toulouse | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 58.0% | 1.72 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.5
|
10.1
|
5.0
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
13.4
|
14.0
|
6.1
|
1.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.7
|
8.1
|
3.7
|
1.2
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
3.5
|
3.3
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.0
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Oct 2019
Toulouse
1-3
Bordeaux
Feb 2019
Bordeaux
2-1
Toulouse
Aug 2018
Toulouse
2-1
Bordeaux
May 2018
Bordeaux
4-2
Toulouse
Sep 2017
Toulouse
0-1
Bordeaux
Aug 2016
Toulouse
4-1
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.