Friday 15 September 2017, 21:45
Stadium Municipal
Full time
36%
31%
33%
Home win
36.1%
Draw
30.9%
Away win
33.0%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse | 36.1% | 2.77 | — | — |
| Draw | 30.9% | 3.23 | — | — |
| Bordeaux | 33.0% | 3.03 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87.9% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 12.1% | 8.23 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 35.2% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 17.6% | 5.68 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 82.4% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 7.0% | 14.29 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 93.0% | 1.08 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| No | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toulouse / Draw | 67.0% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Toulouse / Bordeaux | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Draw / Bordeaux | 63.9% | 1.56 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
12.1
|
11.2
|
6.4
|
2.2
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
11.9
|
14.2
|
7.1
|
2.5
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
7.1
|
7.5
|
4.0
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
2.6
|
2.8
|
1.5
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
0.7
|
0.8
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Oct 2019
Toulouse
1-3
Bordeaux
Feb 2019
Bordeaux
2-1
Toulouse
Aug 2018
Toulouse
2-1
Bordeaux
May 2018
Bordeaux
4-2
Toulouse
Jan 2017
Bordeaux
1-0
Toulouse
Aug 2016
Toulouse
4-1
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.