Saturday 12 August 2017, 21:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
73%
17%
10%
Home win
72.8%
Draw
17.5%
Away win
9.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw | 17.5% | 5.72 | — | — |
| Metz | 9.7% | 10.29 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.8% | 20.86 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 82.6% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 17.4% | 5.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 39.2% | 2.55 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 20.9% | 4.78 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 79.1% | 1.26 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| No | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 90.3% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Metz | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 27.2% | 3.67 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.8
|
2.8
|
1.3
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
9.8
|
8.3
|
3.0
|
0.8
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.2
|
9.3
|
3.6
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.7
|
7.4
|
2.8
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.8
|
4.4
|
1.7
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.7
|
2.1
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Bordeaux
3-1
Metz
Nov 2021
Metz
3-3
Bordeaux
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
1-2
Metz
Jan 2021
Metz
0-0
Bordeaux
Feb 2020
Metz
1-2
Bordeaux
Sep 2019
Bordeaux
2-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.