Sunday 14 May 2017, 22:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
46%
27%
27%
Home win
45.7%
Draw
27.4%
Away win
26.8%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.4% | 3.64 | — | — |
| Marseille | 26.8% | 3.73 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 8.4% | 11.84 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 26.7% | 3.74 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 47.2% | 2.12 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 52.8% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 25.6% | 3.91 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 11.7% | 8.52 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| No | 48.2% | 2.07 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 73.2% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Marseille | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Draw / Marseille | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
8.4
|
7.6
|
4.5
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 1 |
10.7
|
13.1
|
6.7
|
2.4
|
0.6
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
8.5
|
9.2
|
4.9
|
1.8
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
4.2
|
4.5
|
2.4
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.6
|
1.7
|
0.9
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.5
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2022
Bordeaux
0-1
Marseille
Aug 2021
Marseille
2-2
Bordeaux
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
0-0
Marseille
Oct 2020
Marseille
3-1
Bordeaux
Feb 2020
Bordeaux
0-0
Marseille
Dec 2019
Marseille
3-1
Bordeaux
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.