Saturday 8 April 2017, 21:00
Matmut Atlantique
Full time
71%
18%
11%
Home win
70.9%
Draw
18.4%
Away win
10.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux | 70.9% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Draw | 18.4% | 5.43 | — | — |
| Metz | 10.7% | 9.37 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.9% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.1% | 19.65 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 18.2% | 5.48 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 40.5% | 2.47 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 37.1% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 19.9% | 5.04 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| No | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bordeaux / Draw | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Bordeaux / Metz | 81.6% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Draw / Metz | 29.1% | 3.44 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.1
|
3.1
|
1.4
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.0
|
8.8
|
3.3
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 2 |
12.1
|
9.5
|
3.7
|
1.0
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 3 |
9.3
|
7.3
|
2.9
|
0.7
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
5.3
|
4.2
|
1.6
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
2.4
|
1.9
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Apr 2022
Bordeaux
3-1
Metz
Nov 2021
Metz
3-3
Bordeaux
Feb 2021
Bordeaux
1-2
Metz
Jan 2021
Metz
0-0
Bordeaux
Feb 2020
Metz
1-2
Bordeaux
Sep 2019
Bordeaux
2-0
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.