Wednesday 5 April 2017, 20:00
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Full time
20%
22%
58%
Home win
20.1%
Draw
21.6%
Away win
58.2%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz | 20.1% | 4.97 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.6% | 4.63 | — | — |
| Lyon | 58.2% | 1.72 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95.8% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 4.2% | 24.06 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 15.0% | 6.65 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 35.5% | 2.82 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 42.5% | 2.36 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 24.1% | 4.14 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 75.9% | 1.32 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 61.9% | 1.61 | — | — |
| No | 38.1% | 2.63 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metz / Draw | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Metz / Lyon | 78.4% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Lyon | 79.9% | 1.25 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
4.2
|
7.1
|
8.2
|
5.8
|
3.1
|
1.3
|
| 1 |
3.8
|
9.7
|
9.8
|
6.9
|
3.7
|
1.6
|
| 2 |
2.6
|
5.5
|
5.8
|
4.1
|
2.2
|
0.9
|
| 3 |
1.0
|
2.2
|
2.3
|
1.6
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
| 4 |
0.3
|
0.6
|
0.7
|
0.5
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 5 |
0.1
|
0.2
|
0.2
|
0.1
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Jan 2026
Metz
2-5
Lyon
Aug 2025
Lyon
3-0
Metz
Feb 2024
Metz
1-2
Lyon
Nov 2023
Lyon
1-1
Metz
May 2022
Metz
3-2
Lyon
Dec 2021
Lyon
1-1
Metz
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.