Sunday 12 March 2017, 18:00
Parc Olympique Lyonnais
Full time
63%
22%
16%
Home win
62.6%
Draw
21.8%
Away win
15.6%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Draw | 21.8% | 4.59 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 15.6% | 6.42 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94.2% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 5.9% | 17.09 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 79.8% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 20.2% | 4.96 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 43.6% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 34.0% | 2.94 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 17.5% | 5.70 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 82.5% | 1.21 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| No | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon / Draw | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Lyon / Toulouse | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 37.4% | 2.68 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
5.9
|
4.2
|
2.2
|
0.7
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 1 |
10.1
|
10.4
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 2 |
10.8
|
9.9
|
4.5
|
1.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
| 3 |
7.3
|
6.7
|
3.1
|
0.9
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
| 4 |
3.7
|
3.4
|
1.6
|
0.5
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
1.5
|
1.4
|
0.6
|
0.2
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
May 2026
Toulouse
2-1
Lyon
Oct 2025
Lyon
1-2
Toulouse
Jan 2025
Lyon
0-0
Toulouse
Sep 2024
Toulouse
1-2
Lyon
Mar 2024
Toulouse
2-3
Lyon
Dec 2023
Lyon
3-0
Toulouse
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.