Wednesday 8 February 2017, 20:00
Stade du Moustoir
Full time
39%
27%
34%
Home win
39.1%
Draw
27.1%
Away win
33.7%
Match result
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
| Draw | 27.1% | 3.69 | — | — |
| Toulouse | 33.7% | 2.96 | — | — |
Goals
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92.7% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 7.3% | 13.64 | — | — |
| Over 1.5 | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 23.8% | 4.20 | — | — |
| Over 2.5 | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
| Over 3.5 | 29.0% | 3.45 | — | — |
| Under 3.5 | 71.0% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 14.0% | 7.15 | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 86.0% | 1.16 | — | — |
Both teams to score
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| No | 44.1% | 2.27 | — | — |
Double chance
| Selection | Model | Fair odds | Best offer | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lorient / Draw | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Lorient / Toulouse | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Draw / Toulouse | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
Every scoreline
Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 |
7.3
|
7.9
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 1 |
8.6
|
12.9
|
7.9
|
3.4
|
1.1
|
0.3
|
| 2 |
6.6
|
8.6
|
5.6
|
2.4
|
0.8
|
0.2
|
| 3 |
3.1
|
4.1
|
2.7
|
1.1
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
| 4 |
1.1
|
1.4
|
0.9
|
0.4
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
| 5 |
0.3
|
0.4
|
0.3
|
0.1
|
0.0
|
0.0
|
Form
Head to head
Mar 2026
Toulouse
1-0
Lorient
Nov 2025
Lorient
1-1
Toulouse
Apr 2024
Lorient
1-2
Toulouse
Dec 2023
Toulouse
1-1
Lorient
Apr 2023
Lorient
0-1
Toulouse
Aug 2022
Toulouse
2-2
Lorient
For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.