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Sunday 5 February 2017, 16:00 Stadium Municipal Full time
4–0
HT 0–0
46% 31% 22%
Home win
46.4%
Draw
31.3%
Away win
22.3%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse 46.4% 2.16
Draw 31.3% 3.19
Angers 22.3% 4.49

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 85.5% 1.17
Under 0.5 14.5% 6.92
Over 1.5 59.9% 1.67
Under 1.5 40.1% 2.49
Over 2.5 32.0% 3.12
Under 2.5 68.0% 1.47
Over 3.5 14.1% 7.10
Under 3.5 85.9% 1.16
Over 4.5 5.2% 19.37
Under 4.5 94.8% 1.05

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 38.5% 2.60
No 61.5% 1.62

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Toulouse / Draw 77.7% 1.29
Toulouse / Angers 68.7% 1.46
Draw / Angers 53.6% 1.87

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
14.5
9.7
4.0
1.0
0.2
0.0
1
16.0
13.6
4.9
1.2
0.2
0.0
2
10.3
7.8
3.0
0.8
0.1
0.0
3
4.2
3.2
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.0
4
1.3
1.0
0.4
0.1
0.0
0.0
5
0.3
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
Rows: Toulouse goals. Columns: Angers goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.