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Saturday 28 January 2017, 21:00 Stade Raymond-Kopa Full time
2–1
HT 2–1
50% 28% 22%
Home win
50.1%
Draw
28.2%
Away win
21.7%

Match result

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers 50.1% 2.00
Draw 28.2% 3.54
Metz 21.7% 4.62

Goals

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Over 0.5 89.4% 1.12
Under 0.5 10.6% 9.40
Over 1.5 68.0% 1.47
Under 1.5 32.0% 3.12
Over 2.5 40.7% 2.45
Under 2.5 59.3% 1.69
Over 3.5 20.3% 4.92
Under 3.5 79.7% 1.26
Over 4.5 8.5% 11.73
Under 4.5 91.5% 1.09

Both teams to score

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Yes 45.0% 2.22
No 55.0% 1.82

Double chance

Selection Model Fair odds Best offer Edge
Angers / Draw 78.3% 1.28
Angers / Metz 71.8% 1.39
Draw / Metz 49.9% 2.00

Every scoreline

Each market above is a sum over this grid, which is why they can never contradict one another.

Probability of each scoreline
0 1 2 3 4 5
0
10.6
7.8
3.7
1.1
0.2
0.0
1
13.6
13.1
5.3
1.5
0.3
0.1
2
10.4
9.0
3.9
1.1
0.2
0.0
3
5.0
4.3
1.9
0.5
0.1
0.0
4
1.8
1.6
0.7
0.2
0.0
0.0
5
0.5
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.0
0.0
Rows: Angers goals. Columns: Metz goals. Values are percentages.

Form

Head to head

For context only — the model does not use head-to-head history. Past meetings mostly record squads that no longer exist.